NIFTY VIEW 13-11-2013

LAST BLOG FOLLOW UP

LAST LEG OF SELL OF, AS PER PARTICIPATION NEAR TO 6125 OR GAP DOWN ON MONDAY  WILL BE GOOD BUYING OPPORTUNITY.

BOUGHT ON OPEN @ 6145 & 2ND BOUGHT@ 6130 SOLD @ 6175 & AGAIN BOUGHT @ 6142  & END OF SESSION S/L HIT @ 6117 .TODAY AGAIN BOUGHT @ 6135 & 6108 SOLD @ 6135 & IN LAST WE BOUGHT @ 6175  .WE ARE WRONG FROM LAST TWO SESSION. 


NIFTY VIEW 13-11-2013
NIFTY O 6138  H 6153 L 6063 C 6071 AVG 6110


NIFTY ALMOST DOWN 319 POINT (5%) FROM TOP WE ARE ALREADY LONG IN TODAY TRADE &   WE WI;LL SEE  NIFTY TILL 6043. 


FII TODAY 

CASH BOUGHT & INDEX SOLD  OPTION BUY (NET PUT)

IN OPEN POSITION FII OVER SOLD CALL SIDE 

CONCLUSION

WE HAVE ALREADY TAKEN POSITION & WE WILL TAKE  MORE POSITION  IN DOWN FALL 

1ST HURDLE WILL BE 6110 THEN 6135

NIFTY VIEW FOR 11-11-2013

LAST BLOG FOLLOW UP 

GO SHORT FROM TOMORROW 6279 ,6296 &  6313  SL 6325 

OVER ALL FIRST SUPPORT  SUPPORT IS 6210 ( RBI POLICY )

THEN WE WILL REVIEW POSITION

WE STARTED SHORT FROM 6279 6296 & 6313 & STOP LOSS  HIT @ 6325  (WE ARE OUT OF SYSTEM DUE TO STOP LOSS & NOT ABLE TO ENTER LOST OPPORTUNITY )

TODAY WE TAKEN POSITION @ 6180 (WITH OUT HOMEWORK )

NIFTY VIEW FOR 11-11-2013

NIFTY O 6127 H 6227 L 6165 C 6182  AVG  6196 

MARKET OPEN WITH GAP DOWN & MADE HIGH OF YESTERDAY CLOSE  & CONSTANTLY SELLING WITH AVG OF 6213 & AFTER 12.3 MARKET FALL 

MARKET WILL BE  NEAR TO NEUTRAL ZONE IF  1% MORE DOWN FALL  NEAR TO 6125, IT WILL BE FAIR PLACE  TO ENTER AGAIN.
5 DAY CONSTANT FALL WILL GIVE  BULL CANDLE .

FII ACTIVITY :-

TODAY ALSO FII SHORT INDEX 35800 CONT & LONG OI IS CUTTING & SHORT OI IS ADDING THIS IS 2 ND  TIME SEEN AFTER 1 MONTH. LONG TO SHORT RATION IS STEEL BETTER  4:1 .   IN OPTION  PUT IS BUYING & CALL SHORT, BUT CALL QTYY IS NOT BIG 

CONCLUSION:-

LAST LEG OF SELL OF, AS PER PARTICIPATION NEAR TO 6125 OR GAP DOWN ON MONDAY  WILL BE GOOD BUYING OPPORTUNITY.

NIFTY VIEW FOR 07-11-2013

YESTERDAY FOLLOW UP

GO SHORT FROM TOMORROW OPEN   TILL 6320 SL 6335 (LAST 3 DAYS AVG )

OVER ALL FIRST SUPPORT IS 6256 & 2ND SUPPORT IS 6210( RBI POLICY )

AS WE ARE ABLE TO SHORT @ 6294  & ACHIEVED FIRST TARGET .

NIFTY VIEW FOR 07-11-2013

RS IS WEAK NOW THIS  WILL BE TEMPORARY  -VE FACTOR FOR MARKET. TODAY AGAIN HEAVY WEIGHT  IS -VE MARKET IS MANAGING NIFTY PORTFOLIO,LIKE IT & PHARMA IS UP & METAL BANK CEMENT IS DOWN WE WILL KEEP DOING SHORT TILL FII PARTICIPATION IS -VE 5210 IS MAJOR SUPPORT LET SEE HOW WE ARE MANAGING .

FII ACTIVITY :-

TODAY ALSO FII SHORT INDEX 30THU CONT & CUT LONG OI THIS IS FIRST TIME SEEN AFTER 1 MONTH . CASH BUYING IS REDUCING & @  FO OPEN BUYING OF PUT OPTION .

CONCLUSION:-
GO SHORT FROM TOMORROW 6279 ,6296 &  6313  SL 6225 

OVER ALL FIRST SUPPORT  SUPPORT IS 6210 ( RBI POLICY )

THEN WE WILL REVIEW POSITION

NIFTY VIEW FOR 06-11-2013

HAPPY DIWALI & PROSPEROUS NEW YEAR TO ALL  MY READERS & MY FRIENDS 

LAST BLOG REF 
WE BOOKED PART PROFIT,  BAL WE WILL BOOK @ DIWALI OR IF NIFTY GO BELOW 6245(WHICH EVER IS FIRST)

WE HAVE BOOK PROFIT ON DIWALI @ 6352

NIFTY VIEW FOR 06-11-2013

O 6335 H 6356 L 6285 C 6296 AVG 6312

NOW WE DON'T HAVE ANY POSITION WE BOOKED ALL POSITION ON DIWALI

AS PER TODAY ACTIVITY @ MARKET FROM 1 NOV ON WARD NIFTY AVG IS 6335

NOW WE WILL GO SHORT TILL 6320 WITH SL OF 6335

MONTH OPENING FII REDUCED HIS CASH BUYING & TODAY INDEX ELL OF AFTER ROLL OVER MARKET PARTICIPATION IS -VE ALL HEAVY WAIGHT LIKE  INFY,TCS, SUN PHARMA DR REDY  ITC ICICI BANK HUL ALL ARE IN PROFIT BOOKING OR WE CAN SAY -VE


FII ACTIVITY :-

AFTER ROLL OVER FII GRADUALLY CHANGING HIS STAND .IN CASH LOW BUYING & SQ UP HIS ARBITRAGE POSITION CASH TO FUTURE. TODAY AFTER LONG TIME THEY ARE NET SELLER IN INDEX .

FII OI IS CUT BY 24000 INDEX ..

CONCLUSION:-
GO SHORT FROM TOMORROW OPEN   TILL 6320 SL 6335 (LAST 3 DAYS AVG )

OVER ALL FIRST SUPPORT IS 6256 & 2ND SUPPORT IS 6210( RBI POLICY )

THEN WE WILL REVIEW POSITION

NIFTY VIEW FOR 01-NOV-2013

WE BOOKED PART PROFIT,  BAL WE WILL BOOK @ DIWALI OR IF NIFTY GO BELOW 6245(WHICH EVER IS FIRST)

TODAY NIFTY IS  CLOSE ALL TIME HIGH (ABOVE 2007/2008)

AS WE SAID IN EARLIER BLOG ADV :DEC RATIO  IS +VE ROLLOVER IS VERY GOOD .


FII DATA 

FII ROLLOVER IS VERY GOOD & @ INDEX FUT OUT OF 10 QTTY  9 IS LONG & 1 IS SHORT OPEN INT IS ALSO VERY GOOD.

TODAY FII LONG CASH 1800 CR INDEX LONG PUT & CALL OPTION SHORT & MINOR LONG @ STK FUR....... (BUT FII PARTICIPATION  IN STK FUT OPEN INTEREST  IS -VE, THEY ARE SHORT 50 % QTTY IN STOCK FUTURE )

CONCLUSION

VIEW BULLISH TILL DIWALI

LAST 2 MONTH BOTH CANDLE IS BULLISH & THIS MONTH ALSO WILL BE BULLISH

GO LONG TILL 6250, BELOW THAT WE WILL CUT LONG & WAIT FOR NEW OPPORTUNITY.

NOW WE HAVE TO WORK ON CASH SEGMENT MID CAP. THIS ALL SEGMENT WILL PERFORMANCE WILL BE   BETTER THEN NIFTY

30 -10-2013 NIFTY

WE WILL CUT OUR POSITION TOMORROW IF ANY GAP DOWN ITS OPPORTUNITY TILL 6070

SO I WILL CUT MY SHORT  ANY WHERE BETWEEN 6110 TILL 6085  & I WILL GO FRESH  LONG FROM 6070 TILL 6040

AS PER OUR PRICE TARGET WE CUT OUR SHORT @ 6096 & STARTED LONG BUT NOT  ABLE TO GET BIG  QTTY BUT WE ARE NET LONG 

REFERENCE 

LAST TIME @ RBI BEFORE  EVENT  MARKET WAS BULLISH & ON EVENT PROFIT BOOKING CAME & THIS TIME MARKET IN CORRECTION & SHORT COVERING CAME ..

O 6100 H 6237 L 6080 C 6231 AVG 6163 \
TODAY AS SOON AS MARKET CROSS 6150.AFTER THAT NOT A SINGLE CANDLE DONE CORRECTION AT ALL & CLOSE HIGH OF THE DAY. IN 15 MIN OF LAST 7 CANDLE 6205 WAS CONTINUES LOW THIS WILL BE FIRST SUPPORT


FII DATA :-

TODAY FII NET LONG EVERY THING CASH INDEX & EVEN SHORT GOOD QTTY OF PUT

FII NET LONG INDEX OI BY 3.75 LAC

CONCLUSION 

WE WILL GO LONG TILL 6205 & 6175 TILL TAHT MARKET WILL BE IN GOOD PHASE & 1 ST RESS IS 6298 & 6325

NIFTY VIEW FOR 29 OCT 2013

FOLLOW UP

IN LAST BLOG WE HAVE WRITTEN THAT WE WILL REVIEW OUR POSITION @ 6111. WE TAKEN LONG POSITION @ 6114 WITH SL OF 6106 WHICH WAS LOW AT THAT TIME

REFERENCE 

TODAY NIFTY CONTINUSLY COMING DOWN NOT.. BUT VOL IS VERY LESS

O 6170 H 6181 L 6097 C 6107 AVG 6133  AND LAST WEEK AVG ALSO IS 6133
BUT TOMORROW IS VERY IMP EVENT RBI POLICY IF THERE IS NO CHANGE IN ANY THING OR IF EVENT WILL BE FIZZLE OUT THAN FULL MARKET WILL BE IN BUYING ZONE OR IF .25 CUT THAN AS PER ACCEPTATION  MARKET WILL CUT SHORT IN BOTH CASH WE WILL CUT OUR SHORT

FII DATA

FII TODAY ACTIVITY NET BUY CASH AND @  INDEX NET LONG TODAY FEW CONTRACT IS LONG & SOLD CALL OPTION  & STOCK FUTURE

BUT NET POSITION THEY ARELONG 3 LAC INDEX AGAINST THAT THEY SOLD OR HEDGE BY OPTION

CONCLUSION 
WE WILL CUT OUR POSITION TOMORROW IF ANY GAP DOWN ITS OPPORTUNITY TILL 6070

AS PER ME 6070 IS VERY IMPORTANT LEVEL, FOR LEVEL WORKING FROM 5100 TILL 6200 & FROM 6200 TILL 5750  & AGAIN TOP 6260 .38 % IS 6070 APART FROM THAT IN MONTHLY RALLY WHEN JAN 2013 MARK TOP WAS 6130 FEB CANDLE TOP WAS 6070 & MARKET CONVERTED TO BEARISH AGAIN MARKET TOP @ MAY 6200 & JUN CANDLE TOP IS 6070 THIS IS FUTURE CANDLE IF U CONSIDER SPOT CANDLE THEN ITS 6040

SO I WILL CUT MY SHORT  ANY WHERE BETWEEN 6110 TILL 6085  & I WILL GO FRESH  LONG FROM 6070 TILL 6040

NIFTY FOR 28 OCT 2013

LAST WEEK VIEW 

CONCLUSION

SHORT TERMS    BEARISH

FOR POSITIONAL WE ARE SHORT WITH SL OF 6225 ...


FOR 28 OCT 2013 

AS WE HAVE IN LAST BLOG  WRITTEN FOR INTRA DAY IN SECOND HALF NIFTY MOVE ABOVE AVG WE WILL GO LONG FOR TRG 6192 & 6205 BUT NIFTY MOVE DOWN  FROM 6188 OUR STOP LOSS WORK & LOSS IN INTRA DAY ..BUT WE MAINTAIN OUR POSITIONAL  SHORT

NOW AS WE HAVE SEEN THAT MARKET NOT ABLE TO SUSTAIN HIGHER SIDE & FO NO DATA ALSO COMING IN NEGATIVE WE ARE IN  CORRECTION PHASE...

NIFTY HIGH 6188 LOW 6130 CLOSE BELOW 5141 AVG IS 6155 


FII DATA 

FII AGAIN SOLD NIFTY BY WAY OF OPTION (SYNTHETIC SHORT ) NEARLY 15000 CONT & ACTUAL SOLD 8000 IN FUTURE OVER ALL STOCK FUT ALSO SOLD . 

ONLY PLUS POINT IS NET OLD LONG THERE IS NOT MUCH WIND UP AT ALL SO WE CAN SAY CORRECTION 

CONCLUSION

OUR VIEW IS BEARISH 
 NOW OUR SL WILL BE 6175 & 1 ST SUPPORT  WILL BE 6111 & 2 & MOST CRUCIAL SUPPORT IS 6077  

WE WILL REVIEW OUR POSITION @ 6111 WITH TRADED QTY I HOPE WE WILL GET BREATH @ 6111 .

NIFTY VIEW FOR 25-OCT-2013

AS PER YESTERDAY BLOG

WE ARE BEARISH WITH SL OF 6225

WE SOLD OUR NIFTY @ 6204 & 6208 IMMEDIATELY SL HIT @ 6225 IN AFTER NOON MARKET DROP TILL 6165  WITH GOOD VOLUME   WHEN MARKET REBOUND WE SOLD OUR POSITION AGAIN WITH @ 6194 & 6202 WITH SL OF 6225 NOW WE ARE NET SHORT

TODAY REF

TODAY NIFTY START WITH BULLISH & IN SECOND HALF NIFTY DROP 100 POINT WITH VOLUME & NOT ABLE TO CROSS 6205 & KEEP CONSTANTLY BELOW 6200. TODAY MARKET AVG IN FIRST 15 MIN WAS 6205 & WENT UP TO 6245& FALL DOWN TILL 6212.


FII DATA

TODAY FII LONG CASH & MINOR SHORT IN INDEX & OPTION & STOCK FUT.. IN OPTION CALL SIDE SHORT 12000 CONT AS PER FALL FII IS NOT PARTICIPATE MUCH


CONCLUSION

SHORT TERMS    BEARISH

FOR POSITIONAL WE ARE SHORT WITH SL OF 6225 ...

FOR TOMORROW INTRA DAY 

IF NIFTY OPEN WITH GAP DOWN  & NOT ABEL TO CROSS 6145 & IN SECOND HALF NIFTY CROSSING &  TRADING ABOVE RUNNING AVG THEN WE WILL GO LONG FOR TRG OF 6192  OR 6205

 FOR SHORT IF MARKET OPEN FLATE OR GAP UP THEN WE WILL SHORT SL WILL BE 6115 & 1 ST TRG WILL BE 6162 & 6155 THEN WE WILL AGAIN SHORT @ 6177 FOR TARGET  OF 6125 

NIFTY VIEW FOR 24-OCT-2013

REF OF LAST BLOG IN YELLOW
WE ARE NOT ABLE TO SELL @ HIGHER SIDE BUT WE GOT BUYING OPPORTUNITY @ 6175  & 6145 . WE ARE IN THE MONEY FOR TIME BEING   


WE ARE @ NEAR TO MONTH HIGH SWING OR WE WILL TRADE SHORT FOR SHORT TERM NEAR 6300 THIS IS SAFE AREA TO GO SHORT WITH SL 6350 

FOR NIFTY RANGE IS HIGHER SIDE 6296 & 6325 (FROM LAST MONTH HIGH TO HIGH  2% & 10% SWING FROM LOW 5750 )

& SUPPORT IS 6175 & 6143  LAST WEEK AVG

NIFTY VIEW FOR 24 OCT 2013

LAST TOW DAYS MARKET WAS IN CHOPPY RANGE & LAST BOTH DAYS AVG WAS 6215 

TODAY MARKET CORRECT WELL & BOUNCE BACK BUT CLOSING OF NIFTY WAS LIKE HANGING MANE PATTERN IN CHART 

TODAY AVG IS 6175 LAST TOW DAYS  AVG IS GOOD RESISTANCE FOR MARKET WE CAN SAY GO SHORT FROM TOMORROW OPEN  TILL 6215 SL WILL BE 6225 OUR FIRST TRG WILL BE 6130 & 6115 & 6075 

OTHER SIDE OF MARKET ...IF MARKET NOT ABEL TO GO BELOW 6145 & CROSS ABOVE 6225 THEN WE CAN SAY THIS WILL BE BOTTOM OR 6145 WILL BE STOP LOSS FOR NEW HIGH . BUT FII DATA SHOW SELLING @ INDEX 

FII DATA:-

TODAY FII LONG IN CASH ..SLOWLY DAILY BUYING IS COMING DOWN IN COMPARISON FROM LAST 2 OR 3 DAYS 

FII NOT SOLD ANY THING @ INDEX FUTURE BUT INDIRECTLY THEY SOLD BY CREATING SYNTHETIC SHORT POSITION.BY WAY OF BUYING PUT & SELLING CALL 

TODAY FII BOUGHT 80 THU PUT & SOLD 50 THU CALL. 

FII PLAY VERY SMART WAY BY CRATING THIS TYPE OF POSITION FII DO NOT SOLD ANYTHIG HIS FUTURE BUT BY SYNTHETIC SHORT THEY PROTECTED HIS LONG FOR EVENT COMING @ 29 RBI POLICY IF POLICY IN FAVORABLE  THEN THEY LEAVE POSITION @ EXPIRY OR IF NOT IN FAVOR  THEN THEY ALREADY SOLD HIS POSITION @ AVG OF 6215 BOTH SIDE THEY ARE @ WIN WIN SITUATION 

CONCLUSION:-

SHORT TERM BEARISH 

GO SHORT @ OPEN WITH TILL 6215 SL OF 6225

IF MARKET CROSS 6225 THEN WE WILL GO LONG WITH SL OF 6175   

NIFTY VIEW FOR 21-OCT-2013

LAST WEEK  VIEW REF IN YELLOW 

WE PLAY WITH TIME  PERIOD FOR THAT WE SOLD 6250  CE & 6050 PE & BOTH GAVE US GOOD RETURN 

CONCLUSION

WE ARE IN BULLISH VIEW & THIS WEEK  WE WILL TRADE WITH TIME PERIOD, BECAUSE NIFTY UPPER & LOWER LEVEL BOTH IS TRADING RANGE .

SUPPORT OF NIFTY  BUYING ZONE IS 

 6045(LAST THREE DAY AVG )…….  SELL ZONE 6242 (8% OF MONTH SWING)  

NIFTY VIEW FOR 21-10-2013 

LAST WEEK NIFTY MOVE IN RANGE FROM 6224 TILL 6050 & WEEK TO WEEK CLOSE 1.25% UP,WE ACCEPTED TO BE IN RANGE OF 0.50% BUT STILL WE ARE IN COMFORT ZONE 

ALL INDEX SMALL ,MID CAP LARGE CAP EVERY  INDEX PARTICIPATE & CLS IN GREEN.

THIS IS A SIGN OF BULLISH FLAVOR IN MARKET 

FOR NEXT WEEK & THEN AFTER EXPIRY

SENSEX WILL CROSS NEW HIGH FIRST  BECAUSE   SENSEX TO NIFTY  RATIO CHANGE BY 400 POINT HIGH OR NIFTY IS LESS BY 110 POINT VICE VERSE. 

 

NOW WE WILL TRADE WITH  CAUSES 

RESIGN WE ARE NEAR TO MONTH SWING 10% & @ FII DESK SHORT IS BELOW 75THU IT MEANS FRESH SHORT MAY COME @ MONTH HIGH SWING  IE 6296 TILL 6325. WE CAN SAY MARKET IS @ OVER BOUGHT    

FII DATA

FII NET TO NET BUYER @ CASH & INDEX & SELLING OPTION MEANS MARKET VOLATILITY IS COMING DOWN & FOCUSING @ CASH WITHOUT HEDGING....

FII INDEX NET OI  LONG BY 3.35 LAC ON 18 OCT CASH +1700 CR & INDEX LONG BUY 22THU  SHORT BY OPTION INDEX 

CONCLUSION :-

WE ARE BULLISH IN MARKET , 

NOW  ONLY CAUSES TRADE BECAUSE @ NEAR TO MONTH HIGH SWING OR WE WILL TRADE SHORT FOR SHORT TERM NEAR 6300 THIS IS SAFE AREA TO GO SHORT WITH SL 6350 

FOR NIFTY RANGE IS HIGHER SIDE 6296 & 6325 (FROM LAST MONTH HIGH TO HIGH  2% & 10% SWING FROM LOW 5750 )

& SUPPORT IS 6175 & 6143  LAST WEEK AVG

OVER ALL MARKET WILL BE IN BULLISH TILL CLS ABOVE 6119  (THIS IS A AVG OF LAST TIME FII BOUGHT 1 LAC INDEX BEFOR RBI POLICY ) WE HAVE WRITTEN THIS  ON 20 SEP BLOG 

18-10-2013 NIFTY REF

NO CHANGE IN VIEW

FII DATA SHOW STRONG LONG POSITION

TODAY FII SOLD OPTION & IN OPTION  MAXIMUM  QTTY OF PUT SOLD ....& BUYING INDEX EVERY DAY...

 IN CASH ALSO BUYING REGULAR BASIS.

WE CAN SAY THIS IS A SWING RETRENCHMENT.FROM TOP  I E 2.5%   

15-oct-2013 NIFTY VIEW

OLD BLOG REF DT 8 OCT 
WILL BE IN UP MOVE & AS SOON AS WE CROSS 6012 WILL BE IN CLEAR BULLISH MODE .

5925 IS VERY IMP LEVEL IN CASH WE ARE BELOW 5925 & IN FO ABOVE 5925 .AS FAR AS TRADE IS MATTER WE ARE BULLISH .

CONCLUSION:-


IF MARKET IS OPEN WITH GAP THEN 5935 WILL BE SUPPORT. IF MORE GAP LIKE 60 POINT THEN 5950 WILL BE SUPPORT

FOR 4.5% SWING  OF WEEK THEN WE CAN GO UP TO 6119 & FOR 3.5 % WILL BE 6060
MARKET ABOVE 5925 WILL BE ALWAYS IN BULLISH MODE

15 OCT 2013

NOT WRITING  BLOG BECAUSE NO CHANGE IN VIEW        

TODAY FIRST DAY &   NIFTY VOLUME IS VERY LOW

O  6117 H 6155 L 6104 C 6147 avg  6133

AS PER OUR TARGET WE HAVE   BOOK ALL PROFIT @ 6119 & 6060 . AS PER RECENT ACTIVITY  MARKET BREATH IS VERY GOOD  MID CAP IS MOVING BETTER THEN NIFTY, REASON IS  FROM LAST 3 YR MARKET DE CAPLING MID CAP NOW AS PER STANDARD DEVIATION MUST RE  CAPLING TO HIS DEVIATION WITH NIFTY.

ADV : DEC IS ABOVE 1.10 THIS A STRENGTH OF MARKET . & MAY GO ABOVE  1.1..NOW 

AS FAR AS CONCERN WITH NIFTY WILL BE IN RANGE FROM FRIDAY CLOSING 6143 +100-100 & WEEK CLOSING WILL BE BACK TO NEAR +- 0.5%   (FROM 6143 TILL 6243 OR FROM 6143 TILL 6045 & CLOSE WILL BE AROUND 6120 OR 6175)

FII DATA

TODAY AGAIN FII NET BUYER IN CASH …. IN INDEX  NET BUY OF 23000 &  SELL OF PUT (MORE THEN 31000 CONT  STOCK ALSO NET SELL BUY SMALL ATTY 8000

FII IS MORE LONG ON INDEX FUT NEAR TO 3.75 LAC  FIRST TIME I HAVE SEEN THIS MUCH LONG POSITION .WE MAY CONSIDER OVER BOUGHT FOR TEMPORARY.. 

CONCLUSION

WE ARE IN BULLISH VIEW & THIS WEEK  WE WILL TRADE WITH TIME PERIOD, BECAUSE NIFTY UPPER & LOWER LEVEL BOTH IS TRADING RANGE .

SUPPORT OF NIFTY  BUYING ZONE IS 

 6045(LAST THREE DAY AVG )…….  SELL ZONE 6242 (8% OF MONTH SWING)  

8-10-2013 NIFTY

we work out our stop loss @ 5886 & we are long again  when market gone above today high 

(NOW FOR POSITIONAL LONG TRADE   IF OPEN WITH GAP WE HAVE TO BUY @ 5955  & IF WE GET ANOTHER CHANCE @ 5925  THEN OUR SL WILL BE 5886. )

TODAY NIFTY FALL FAST IN HIS FIRST PHASE THEN COVER ALL LOSS IN END OF DAY.CLOSE AS DOJI AGAIN 

WILL BE IN UP MOVE & AS SOON AS WE CROSS 6012 WILL BE IN CLEAR BULLISH MODE .

5925 IS VERY IMP LEVEL IN CASH WE ARE BELOW 5925 & IN FO ABOVE 5925 .AS FAR AS TRADE IS MATTER WE ARE BULLISH .


FII DATA 

 FII ROLL OVER WAS LONG & STILL THEY MAINTAIN LONG . NOW INDEX IS LONG BY 2 LAC NET 

FII NET BUY CASH & SOLD 10 THU CONT OF INDEX & SOLD PUT 

CONCLUSION:-

IF MARKET IS OPEN WITH GAP THEN 5935 WILL BE SUPPORT. IF MORE GAP LIKE 60 POINT THEN 5950 WILL BE SUPPORT

FOR 4.5% SWING  OF WEEK THEN WE CAN GO UP TO 6119 & FOR 3.5 % WILL BE 6060
MARKET ABOVE 5925 WILL BE ALWAYS IN BULLISH MODE

NIFTY VIEW 07-10-2013

FOLLOW UP 

IN LAST BLOG WE HAVE WRITTEN & WE ACT ACCORDING 
(NOW FOR LONG TRADE WE HAVE TO BUY @ 5925 & IF WE GET ANOTHER CHANCE @ 5892 THEN OUR SL WILL BE 5864. I THINK MRK MAY NOT BREAK  5900 ALSO)

OUR NET POSITION IS LONG @ 5930  AS WE GOT BUYING OPPORTUNITY AT LOWER LEVEL.

TODAY NIFTY PATTERN IS DOJI  

TODAY O 5945 H 6008 L 5926 C 5950 AVG 5966


THIS MONTH AVG IS 5886 AND THIS IS STOP LOSS FOR LONG .

AS FAR AS CONCERN WITH LAST TWO DAY TRADING THERE IS SPECIFIC SUPPLY FROM 5995 TILL 5965  AND BUYING FROM 5938 TILL 5912. (BUT OVER ALL FII IS NET BUYING AT INDEX)

FOR NEXT WEEK IF MARKET OPEN WITH UP BY 25 POINT & TAKE SUPPORT OF CLOSE 5950  OR LAST TWO DAYS AVG 5945 THEN WE WILL BE IN UP MOVE & AS SOON AS WE CROSS 6012 WILL BE CLEAR BULLISH MODE

5925 IS VERY IMP LEVEL IN CASH WE ARE BELOW 5925 & IN FO ABOVE 5925 .AS FAR AS TRADE IS MATTER WE ARE BULLISH .

MARKET WILL BE IN TRADING ZONE & GRADUALLY IMPROVE LOVER  BASE LEVEL TO UP  SIDE (IE HIGHER LOWER & HIGHER HIGH)


FII DATA 

 FII ROLL OVER WAS LONG & STILL THEY MAINTAIN LONG . NOW INDEX IS LONG BY 2 LAC NET & NET SHORT IN STOCK FUR .
LAST TRADING SESSION FILL BUY IN ALL SEGMENT  CASH ,INDX FUT &  OPTION LONG BY PUT
CONCLUSION:-

NOW FOR POSITIONAL LONG TRADE   IF OPEN WITH GAP WE HAVE TO BUY @ 5955  & IF WE GET ANOTHER CHANCE @ 5925  THEN OUR SL WILL BE 5886. I THINK MRK MAY NOT BREAK  5900 ALSO

FOR TRADING OPEN WITH GAP BUY AROUND 5955 & 5945 SL 5930. & IF OPEN WITH GAP DOWN OR -VE FLAT & FIRST 15 MIN AVG BELOW 5945 THEN SELL WITH SL OF 5970 WE MAY GET OPP FOR 5925 & 5912

nifty view for 04-10-2013

FOLLOW UP 

TODAY NIFTY OPEN WITH GAP UP & KEEPING CONSTANT UP .

TODAY O 5860 H 5996 L 5846 C 5965 AVG 5924

ON 27 SEP WHEN NIFTY FALL PRICE WAS OPP TO THIS
O 5951 H 5959 L 5875 C 5888 AVG 5912,

THIS MONTH AVG IS 5864

5925 IS VERY IMP LEVEL IN CASH WE ARE BELOW 5925 & IN FO ABOVE.AS FAR AS TRADE IS MATTER WE ARE BULLISH .

MARKET WILL BE IN TRADING ZONE & GRADUALLY IMPROVE LOVER  BASE LEVEL TO UP  SIDE (IE HIGHER LOWER & HIGHER HIGH)


FII DATA 

 FII ROLL OVER WAS LONG & STILL THEY MAINTAIN. NOW INDEX IS LONG BY 2 LAC NET & NET SHORT IN STOCK FUR . GENERALLY THEY ARE LONG PUT BUY MORE THEN 7 LAC BUT THIS TIME LESS THEN 5 LAC IN PUT

CONCLUSION:-

NOW FOR LONG TRADE WE HAVE TO BUY @ 5925 & IF WE GET ANOTHER CHANCE @ 5892 THEN OUR SL WILL BE 5864. I THINK MRK MAY NOT BREAK  5900 ALSO

NIFTY VIEW FOR 3 OCT

30 SEP NIFTY O  5846 H 5855 L 5774  C 5791 AVG 5810

01 OCT NIFTY O 5806 H 5837 L 5754  C 5828 AVG 5807

IN LAST TWO DAY FROM 5820 TILL 5835 SOME SPECIFIC SELLING SEEN IN NIFTY ...

NIFTY FROM 5100 TILL 6150 & 5750 IS .38 % RETRENCHMENT .BUT FII IS NOT PARTICIPATION IN CASH MARKET & IN LAST TWO SESSION SMALL QTTY OF  LONG WIND UP IN INDEX.

PERSONALLY I AM STILL BULLISH BUT AS PER DATA WE WILL CONSIDER  AS SELL & WE WILL TAKE SHORT POSITION TOMORROW FROM 5835 TILL 5845 & SL WILL BE 5875
AFTER RALLY FROM 5100 TILL 6100 MARKET IS IN CONGESTION ZONE

LAST TWO SESSION  DOWN SIDE NIFTY SUPPORT IS 5765

FROM HIGH 5955 .IF WE CONSIDER 4 % SWING  5721 THEN 6 %  5602

FOR NEXT DAY TRADING IF MARKET TAKING SUPPORT IN FIRST HALF @ 5785 & CROSS IN 2ND   HALF ABOVE 5835 THEN MARKT WILL TAKE UP MOVE

OR IF NIFTY OPEN GAP DOWN AROUND 5805 & GO UP TILL 5825 & THEN CROSS 5790 THEN MARKET WILL TAKE DOWN MOVE (LAST THREE DAY AVG 80 POINT OF H & L )

nifty view for 27 sep 2013

NIFTY SEP  O 5893 H 5923 L 5867  C 5883 AVG 5892

NIFTY OCT O 5925 H 5985 L 5918 C 5947 AVG 5949 

TODAY NIFTY KEPT IN MAXIMUM RANGE FROM 5875 & 5909 

FII DATA

FII DONE MAJOR LONG ROLL OVER INDEX IS LONG,,SHORT  STOCK WIND UP & MAJOR LONG PUT WIND UP & ADD ON SHORT PUT TO SYSTEM.CALL SIDE LONG & SHORT BOTH ARE SAME. CASH ALSO NET BUY 

  

CONCLUSION 

VIEW IS BULLISH .

 NIFTY WILL OPEN WITH GAP BECAUSE PREM IS HIGH

WE WILL TAKE NIFTY SPOT AS REF DATA 

FOR TAKING POSITION IF SPOT NIFTY CROSS ABOVE  5925 THEN WE WILL START LONG  

PERSONALLY I WILL NOT GO SHORT ...BUT FOR SHORT REF GO SHORT WITH SL OF 5925 

TECHNICAL

THIS MONTH CANDLE PATTERN IS FULL REVERSAL OF LAST MONTH BEAR CANDLE 

THIS IS HAPPEN IN 2010 & 2007 2012 ON MONTHLY BASIS 

AFTER REVERSAL 3 RD MONTH CANDLE LOW MUST  BE -1% OF CLOSE  IE 5882 OR MAX HIGH OF AUG MONTH 5808 (REF... POINT  MAY DIFFER BY DISCOUNT  & PREM BASIS )

AUG O 5776 H 5808 L 5118 C 5471 

SEP   O 5480 H 6142 L 5318 C 5882 

NIFTY 26 SEP 2103

WE LOST IN NIFTY LONG BUT FROM 5950 TILL 5850 WE GOT 3 ROUND OF 50 POINT.THAT RANGE REDUCE  OUR LOSS . 

WE HAVE SQ UP OUR ALL LONG POSITION AFTER 2.3 PM..... MORNING WE GONE LONG TILL 5850 BUT  AS SOON AS NIFTY AVG GO BELOW 5875 & 1 CR QTY CROSS WE HAVE SOLD NIFTY FROM 5850 TILL 5865,,NOW  TOTALLY ZERO POSITION 

NOW AFTER EXPIRY WE WILL SEE FOR FRESH TRADE 

  

O 5920 H 5923 L 5820 C 5889 & AVG 5868

NIFTY VIEW 24 SEP 2013

NIFTY VIEW 24 SEP 2013
OUR BIAS IS LONG & KEPT OUR LONG POSITION AS IT IS .

TODAY ALSO WE GOT GOOD CHANCE  WE TAKEN 2 TIME 50 POINT TRADING OPPORTUNITY(BUY BELOW 5900 & SOLD NEAR 5950) & WE ARE STEEL LONG

NIFTY HIGH IS 5962 & LOW 5875 AVG 5923

FII NET BUY IN INDEX BY 40000 CONT  & SOLD OPTION CALL 13000 & PUT 13000 BOTH

NOW ONLY THING TO WATCH IS CASH PARTICIPATION IS NOT COMING & NET SELL IN STOCK FUT.THIS IS LITTLE WORRY ......

AS FAR AS NIFTY  ROLLOVER ZONE ..WE CAN SEE SELL ROLL FROM 5936 TILL 5948 & BUY ROLL FROM 5921 TILL 5895

NIFTY VIEW 24-09-2013

AS PER OUR PLAN WE ARE LONG NOW FROM 5950 TILL 5900 .

AS PER TODAY FII DATA...   NO PARTICIPATION @ FO INDEX & CASH ONLY   SELL OFF IN  STOCK FUTURE THAT IS ARBITRAGE OF CASH FUND


TODAY MARKET FALL ONE SIDE. MORNING OPEN WITH GAP DOWN & MADE HIGH OF 6012 & THEN  MADE NEW LOW IN EVERY 1 HR

TODAY AVG 5936 WILL BE RESISTANCE & 5875 IS SUPPORT .

AS FAR AS FII IS NOT COMING FOR SELLING WE WILL BE LONG BUT IF MARK GO BELOW 5875 WITH 1 CR VOL. IN 1ST 1HOUR

OTHER WISE THIS WILL TREATED AS NON PARTICIPATION CORRECTION.

I WILL TAKE A CALL ON SELLING BY FII OR ROLL OVER   

nifty view 22 sep 2013

NIFTY FRIDAY AVG IS 6025 & LAST TWO DAYS AVG IS 6075 (IE THR & FRI) WILL BECOME HURDELS

6130

6154.55

5950.2

6037.5

WE ARE BULLISH IN MARKET THIS WEEK IS ROLL OVER WEEK & WE WILL SEE IN THE RANGE OF 6119 (IS AVG OF THUS DAY ) TILL 5929 (IS AVG OF FROM 10 SEP TILL 20 SEP )

&  EXP MUST COME NEAR 6025 TILL 6075 

WE WILL CLOSE ALL LONG POSITION BELOW CLOSE 5885 OR 5875 

CONCLUSION WE WILL BUY IN DEEP TILL 5929 & THEN WILL KEEP SL OF 5875.

ALL MAJOR  EVENT IS OVER .MOST IMP DATA TO REF IS AFTER EXP.... ROLL OVER 

MEANS HOW MUCH LONG IS ROLL OVER & IF MARKET NOT ABEL TO GO BELOW 5875 THEN NEW BULL PHASE WILL OPEN  ....

 

nifty view for 20 sep & more

i am writing  after 12 sep because my view was not change, 5810 was taken very good support & still today we have yet to book full profit ,

my next view is market already taken 15 % swing  & will take pose @ 16% here ie 5215  till 5235

& expiry will be near 6075 but over all market is in bull phase & will continue


today also fii bought 1lac cont this is 2 nd time in this month

cash 3500

NIFTY VIEW ON EXPIRY BASIS

 NIFTY  VIEW ON THE BASIS OF EXPIRY FOR CURRENT MONTH

SO DO NOT CONSIDER FOR DAY OR WEEK..... EXPIRY. WILL TAKE 2 WEEK TO GO

NIFTY VIEW FOR 12 SEP 2013

YESTERDAY FII BOUGHT EXTRA ORDINARY QTTY 1 LAC CONT & BOUGHT IN CASH ALSO   THIS SHOW THE CONFIDENCE. 

AS PER TODAY PARTICIPATION WE CAN SEE MARKET WILL COME TILL 5810 ,SO WE WILL WAIT &  LONG FROM  5810 & SL BELOW 5750.

TILL TODAY MARKET FROM LOW NET CHANGE IS 11.5 % .FROM HERE MAX 1 % UP MOVE & LESS VOLUME WILL BE SHOW AS FRESH LONG IS NOT ADDING TO THIS ARES

I WILL GO SHORT TOMORROW FROM 5925 TILL 5985 & SL WILL BE 6006 & MY TARGET WILL BE 5810,AND I WE WILL   LONG FROM  5810 & SL BELOW 5750. 

nifty view for 10-09-2013

nifty view for  10-09-2013

AS SOON AS NIFTY CLOSE ABOVE 5555.WE CLOSE ALL OUR SHORT

MARKET JUMP WITH IN 3 DAYS. NIFTY MOVE 7%  & AT SGX NOW ITS 5809 I FEEL WE MAY NOT OPEN AS PER SGX

WE CAN SAY THIS MOVE IS POWER OF SHORT COVERING

IF WE CONSIDER 8% MOVE THEN MAX 5750 TILL 5775 IS MAX RANGE ABOVE THIS IS EXTRA PRICE

NOW 5630 & 5561 WILL BE RANGE FOR SUPPORT

FII NET BOUGHT CASH 800. FO 38000  CONT BUT NET LONG IS ONLY 24000 & NOW LONG IS HIGHER THEN SHORT.

OVER ALL FII COVER ALL SHORT IN 2 DAYS & FOR 3RD DAY CREATE LONG     

NIFTY VIEW FOR 06-09-2013

NIFTY BREAK OUT  5555 & LAST TWO DAY AVG IS 5512 & THIS MONTH AVG IS 5472 NOW THIS TWO WILL BE SUPPORT FOR LONG.

AS FAR AS THIS BOUNCE BACK IS SHORT COVERING OF FII TUESDAY FII SOLD 68000 CONT @ AVG OF 5432 . THIS FULL QTTY COVER WITHIN 2 DAYS WITH AVG OF 5512. WE WILL WAIT FOR GOING LONG & WE WILL GET CHANCE.


NOW FII IS AT PAR WITH LONG & SHORT IN INDEX  

NIFTY VIEW FOR 05-09-2013

TODAY WE ARE OUT OF MONEY AS WE ARE SHORT @ 5417 & 5427 WE GOT  A CHANCE TO COVER SHORT AFTER 1.30. BUT WE ARE SHORT FOR POSITIONAL .

AFTER EXPIRY NIFTY COMMON AVG IS NEAR 5427,  COMMON LOW AVG IS 5350 & HIGH SIDE 5550

IT MEANS FOR BREAK OUT  CLS ABOV 5550 OR BREAK DOWN  5350 IS NECESSARY TILL THAT MARKET WILL BE IN CONGESTION BAND.

YESTERDAY AVG 5417 .TODAY 1 ST ONE HOUR 1CR NIFTY AVG  WAS 5368 THIS WILL BE GOOD SUPPORT)  

TODAY FII PARTLY COVER SHORT AROUND 24000, FROM YESTERDAY 68000 SHORT. LAST FEW DAYS  FII CREATING  LONG POSITION IN STOCK FUT.SO WE WILL SEE MORE MOVEMENT IN STOCK THEN NIFTY.

CONCLUSION RANGE BOND .TILL CLOSE 5550 & 5350

    

NIFTY VIEW 04-08-2013

NIFTY VIEW 04-08-2013

AS PER YESTERDAY BLOG WE HAVE SOLD IN MORNING & WE ACHIEVED  OUR TARGET 5427 WITHIN A DAY.(MARKET IS @ NEAR 50 % RETRENCHMENT AREA FROM 6100 TO 5100 IS 5600 WE CAN SHORT HERE WITH SL OF 5625  FOR ONE SMALL -VE TREND TILL 5427. MAY  THIS WILL COME WITHIN  IN ONE DAY TIME. )

FII NET SOLD INDEX BY 50000 CONT & LONG WIND UP BY 18000 OVER ALL NET SHORT BY 83000  O I FROM 386 TO 420 

MARKET BREAK  IMP LEVEL OF 5427. NIFTY LOSS HIS CONTROL AFTER 2 O'CLOCK 

BE FOR 2 O'CLOCK VOL WAS 60 LAC & POST 2 PM 2 CR  MAJOR SELL OFF CAME AFTER 2 PM & AVG WAS 5417 & TODAY AVG IS 5432. IN FUTURE BOTH AVG  WILL BE HURDLER,& MINOR SUPPORT WILL BE 5285 (THIS IS AVG OF FROM WHERE MARKET  BOUNCE BACK 5108 TILL 5427 IN TWO DAYS). 

OVER ALL MARKET IS IN BEAR PHASE 

NIFTY PE IS 15.5 ,,, WE HAVE OBSERVED THAT, IN PAST BELOW 16 PE MARKET WILL BE IN BEAR PHASE & NEXT FAIR VALUE WILL BE 13.5 OR 12 PE THIS WILL BE EXTREMELY BEST INVESTMENT ZONE. 

FOR INVESTOR SEAT ON CASH & WAIT FOR GOOD OPPORTUNITY.              

NIFTY VIEW 03-09-2013

NIFTY VIEW FOR 

MARKET IS @ NEAR 50 % RETRENCHMENT AREA FROM 6100 TO 5100 IS 5600 WE CAN SHORT HERE WITH SL OF 5625  FOR ONE SMALL -VE TREND TILL 5427. MAY  THIS WILL COME WITHIN  IN ONE DAY TIME. 

5427 IS SUPPORT BECAUSE ON 27 & 29 AUG  NIFTY TOP IS 5427 &  LAST FRIDAY AFTER EXPIRY AVG IS 5427.

TODAY AFTER LONG TIME FII IS NET BUY IN CASH & LONG IN FUT STOCK & INDEX CALL OPTION.    

nifty view for 30-08-2013

NIFTY VIEW FOR 30-08-2013

TODAY EXPIRY WAS VOLATILE.WITHIN TWO DAYS MARKET BOUNCE BACK FROM 5108 TILL 5425  THIS TWO DAYS AVG IS 5284 & THIS IS BECOME SUPPORT & AUG AVG IS 5521 IS BECOME HURDLES.  

FII WIND UP ALL HIS SHORT. LONG & SHORT BOTH @ SAME LEVEL & DRASTICALLY OI IS CUT BY FII .SO WE HAVE TO WAIT FOR NEW DIRECTION,

THIS MONTH  EXPIRY IS VERY SHORT. & CALL PUT PREM IS HIGH. 

  

NIFTY VIEW 28 AUG 2013

WRITING AFTER LONG TIME  BUSY IN PERSONAL WORK

NIFTY DOWN 12 % FROM HIGH FROM THIS MONTH

NOW 1 ST RESISTANCE  FOR MARKET IS 5328 &  2ND IS 5394

SUPPORT FOR MARKET IS 5139 TILL 5125 (14 % MONTHLY SWING)

OVER ALL MARKET IS -VE TREND  &  LAST 3 TO 6 MONTH BOTTOM WILL BE RESISTANCE (5555) THIS IS AUG MONTH AVG .

NIFTY VIEW 20-08-2013

NIFTY VIEW 20-08-2013

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS 
NIFTY O 5500 H 5500 L 5367  C 5404 AVG 5420 (   MONTH  AVG 5665 ) last two avg is 5502

FROM (5745) 50 % RETRENCHMENT MARKET FALL LIKE 2009 .MARKET IS MORE NERVOUS THEN BEARISH. IN MARKET VOLUME  IS LESS & FALL IS MORE. 

NOW 5502 & 5555 WILL BE  HURDLES & 5350 OR 5325  MAX SUPPORT.

TODAY INDEX SOLD BY FII ALL QTTY ABSORB WITHIN 75 POINT OF NIFTY & LONG POSITION WIND UP IN PUT 40000 CONT.AFTER WEDNESDAY MARKET WILL BE IN ROLL OVER MODE SO GOING SHORT @ THIS PRICE WILL BE NOT ADVISABLE.WE WILL GET OPPORTUNITY.

          

IN JUNE MONTH  END MARKET  REVERSE FROM 5555 THAT TIME AVG WAS 5574 , IN AUG MARKET AGAIN TRY TO REVERSE FROM 5555 & SAME AVG 5574 BUT NOT ABLE TO SUSTAIN.IN THIS MONTH 5725 AVG WAS MULTIPLE TIME CAME.NOW IT WILL BE MAJOR HURDLES. 

  

DATA REFERENCE

AS ON 16-08-2013 FII OPEN INTEREST  463 & 19-08-2013 FII OPEN INTEREST IS 529

IT MEANS FRESH SHORT  POSITION ADD 45000. NOW SHORT IS MORE THEN LONG BY 75000.     

CONCLUSION 

WE ARE  BEARISH TO MARKET BUT NOW WE WILL WAIT 5370 & 5350  IS SUPPORT OR WE CAN SAY OVERSOLD SO FAIR RANGE IS 5505 TILL 5555. & ROLLOVER TIME WILL COME  

FII ADDED NET SHORT CONSECUTIVE 4TH DAYS.

MARKET IS 6 % & 12 %.SWING ,FROM 6100 12 % IS 5376 & FROM 5760 6% IS 5414.

TODAY BOTH ABOVE POINT CAME TODAY,WE WILL SEE SOME SUPPORT HERE 

    

WE CAN GO ONCE AGAIN SHORT TILL 5505 TILL 55555 WITH SL OF 5618(2ND WEEK AVG) 

IF MARKET WILL REACH 5414 OR 5375 IN NEXT 2 DAYS, THEN MARKET WILL TAKE SIDE WAYS FOR ROLL OVER 

IF NOT THEN VOLATILITY WILL IMPROVE FROM 5508 TO  5585 & 5400 RANGE.

WE  WILL SEE BOTH SIDE.IN SAME WEEK       

    

 TODAY MARKET BROKEN HISTORICALLY PE OF 16. I FEEL  NEW BEAR PHASE WILL OPEN.

( IF NIFTY  BREACH 16 PE THEN WE HAVE TO RE WORK FOR NEW LEVELS

WE ARE @ 16.3 PE & NIFTY BREACH HIS 16 PE @ JUNE 2008 . WE MAY TAKE  THIS VIEW ACCORDINGLY.)