nifty view for 27 sep 2013

NIFTY SEP  O 5893 H 5923 L 5867  C 5883 AVG 5892

NIFTY OCT O 5925 H 5985 L 5918 C 5947 AVG 5949 

TODAY NIFTY KEPT IN MAXIMUM RANGE FROM 5875 & 5909 

FII DATA

FII DONE MAJOR LONG ROLL OVER INDEX IS LONG,,SHORT  STOCK WIND UP & MAJOR LONG PUT WIND UP & ADD ON SHORT PUT TO SYSTEM.CALL SIDE LONG & SHORT BOTH ARE SAME. CASH ALSO NET BUY 

  

CONCLUSION 

VIEW IS BULLISH .

 NIFTY WILL OPEN WITH GAP BECAUSE PREM IS HIGH

WE WILL TAKE NIFTY SPOT AS REF DATA 

FOR TAKING POSITION IF SPOT NIFTY CROSS ABOVE  5925 THEN WE WILL START LONG  

PERSONALLY I WILL NOT GO SHORT ...BUT FOR SHORT REF GO SHORT WITH SL OF 5925 

TECHNICAL

THIS MONTH CANDLE PATTERN IS FULL REVERSAL OF LAST MONTH BEAR CANDLE 

THIS IS HAPPEN IN 2010 & 2007 2012 ON MONTHLY BASIS 

AFTER REVERSAL 3 RD MONTH CANDLE LOW MUST  BE -1% OF CLOSE  IE 5882 OR MAX HIGH OF AUG MONTH 5808 (REF... POINT  MAY DIFFER BY DISCOUNT  & PREM BASIS )

AUG O 5776 H 5808 L 5118 C 5471 

SEP   O 5480 H 6142 L 5318 C 5882 

NIFTY 26 SEP 2103

WE LOST IN NIFTY LONG BUT FROM 5950 TILL 5850 WE GOT 3 ROUND OF 50 POINT.THAT RANGE REDUCE  OUR LOSS . 

WE HAVE SQ UP OUR ALL LONG POSITION AFTER 2.3 PM..... MORNING WE GONE LONG TILL 5850 BUT  AS SOON AS NIFTY AVG GO BELOW 5875 & 1 CR QTY CROSS WE HAVE SOLD NIFTY FROM 5850 TILL 5865,,NOW  TOTALLY ZERO POSITION 

NOW AFTER EXPIRY WE WILL SEE FOR FRESH TRADE 

  

O 5920 H 5923 L 5820 C 5889 & AVG 5868

NIFTY VIEW 24 SEP 2013

NIFTY VIEW 24 SEP 2013
OUR BIAS IS LONG & KEPT OUR LONG POSITION AS IT IS .

TODAY ALSO WE GOT GOOD CHANCE  WE TAKEN 2 TIME 50 POINT TRADING OPPORTUNITY(BUY BELOW 5900 & SOLD NEAR 5950) & WE ARE STEEL LONG

NIFTY HIGH IS 5962 & LOW 5875 AVG 5923

FII NET BUY IN INDEX BY 40000 CONT  & SOLD OPTION CALL 13000 & PUT 13000 BOTH

NOW ONLY THING TO WATCH IS CASH PARTICIPATION IS NOT COMING & NET SELL IN STOCK FUT.THIS IS LITTLE WORRY ......

AS FAR AS NIFTY  ROLLOVER ZONE ..WE CAN SEE SELL ROLL FROM 5936 TILL 5948 & BUY ROLL FROM 5921 TILL 5895

NIFTY VIEW 24-09-2013

AS PER OUR PLAN WE ARE LONG NOW FROM 5950 TILL 5900 .

AS PER TODAY FII DATA...   NO PARTICIPATION @ FO INDEX & CASH ONLY   SELL OFF IN  STOCK FUTURE THAT IS ARBITRAGE OF CASH FUND


TODAY MARKET FALL ONE SIDE. MORNING OPEN WITH GAP DOWN & MADE HIGH OF 6012 & THEN  MADE NEW LOW IN EVERY 1 HR

TODAY AVG 5936 WILL BE RESISTANCE & 5875 IS SUPPORT .

AS FAR AS FII IS NOT COMING FOR SELLING WE WILL BE LONG BUT IF MARK GO BELOW 5875 WITH 1 CR VOL. IN 1ST 1HOUR

OTHER WISE THIS WILL TREATED AS NON PARTICIPATION CORRECTION.

I WILL TAKE A CALL ON SELLING BY FII OR ROLL OVER   

nifty view 22 sep 2013

NIFTY FRIDAY AVG IS 6025 & LAST TWO DAYS AVG IS 6075 (IE THR & FRI) WILL BECOME HURDELS

6130

6154.55

5950.2

6037.5

WE ARE BULLISH IN MARKET THIS WEEK IS ROLL OVER WEEK & WE WILL SEE IN THE RANGE OF 6119 (IS AVG OF THUS DAY ) TILL 5929 (IS AVG OF FROM 10 SEP TILL 20 SEP )

&  EXP MUST COME NEAR 6025 TILL 6075 

WE WILL CLOSE ALL LONG POSITION BELOW CLOSE 5885 OR 5875 

CONCLUSION WE WILL BUY IN DEEP TILL 5929 & THEN WILL KEEP SL OF 5875.

ALL MAJOR  EVENT IS OVER .MOST IMP DATA TO REF IS AFTER EXP.... ROLL OVER 

MEANS HOW MUCH LONG IS ROLL OVER & IF MARKET NOT ABEL TO GO BELOW 5875 THEN NEW BULL PHASE WILL OPEN  ....

 

nifty view for 20 sep & more

i am writing  after 12 sep because my view was not change, 5810 was taken very good support & still today we have yet to book full profit ,

my next view is market already taken 15 % swing  & will take pose @ 16% here ie 5215  till 5235

& expiry will be near 6075 but over all market is in bull phase & will continue


today also fii bought 1lac cont this is 2 nd time in this month

cash 3500

NIFTY VIEW ON EXPIRY BASIS

 NIFTY  VIEW ON THE BASIS OF EXPIRY FOR CURRENT MONTH

SO DO NOT CONSIDER FOR DAY OR WEEK..... EXPIRY. WILL TAKE 2 WEEK TO GO

NIFTY VIEW FOR 12 SEP 2013

YESTERDAY FII BOUGHT EXTRA ORDINARY QTTY 1 LAC CONT & BOUGHT IN CASH ALSO   THIS SHOW THE CONFIDENCE. 

AS PER TODAY PARTICIPATION WE CAN SEE MARKET WILL COME TILL 5810 ,SO WE WILL WAIT &  LONG FROM  5810 & SL BELOW 5750.

TILL TODAY MARKET FROM LOW NET CHANGE IS 11.5 % .FROM HERE MAX 1 % UP MOVE & LESS VOLUME WILL BE SHOW AS FRESH LONG IS NOT ADDING TO THIS ARES

I WILL GO SHORT TOMORROW FROM 5925 TILL 5985 & SL WILL BE 6006 & MY TARGET WILL BE 5810,AND I WE WILL   LONG FROM  5810 & SL BELOW 5750. 

nifty view for 10-09-2013

nifty view for  10-09-2013

AS SOON AS NIFTY CLOSE ABOVE 5555.WE CLOSE ALL OUR SHORT

MARKET JUMP WITH IN 3 DAYS. NIFTY MOVE 7%  & AT SGX NOW ITS 5809 I FEEL WE MAY NOT OPEN AS PER SGX

WE CAN SAY THIS MOVE IS POWER OF SHORT COVERING

IF WE CONSIDER 8% MOVE THEN MAX 5750 TILL 5775 IS MAX RANGE ABOVE THIS IS EXTRA PRICE

NOW 5630 & 5561 WILL BE RANGE FOR SUPPORT

FII NET BOUGHT CASH 800. FO 38000  CONT BUT NET LONG IS ONLY 24000 & NOW LONG IS HIGHER THEN SHORT.

OVER ALL FII COVER ALL SHORT IN 2 DAYS & FOR 3RD DAY CREATE LONG     

NIFTY VIEW FOR 06-09-2013

NIFTY BREAK OUT  5555 & LAST TWO DAY AVG IS 5512 & THIS MONTH AVG IS 5472 NOW THIS TWO WILL BE SUPPORT FOR LONG.

AS FAR AS THIS BOUNCE BACK IS SHORT COVERING OF FII TUESDAY FII SOLD 68000 CONT @ AVG OF 5432 . THIS FULL QTTY COVER WITHIN 2 DAYS WITH AVG OF 5512. WE WILL WAIT FOR GOING LONG & WE WILL GET CHANCE.


NOW FII IS AT PAR WITH LONG & SHORT IN INDEX  

NIFTY VIEW FOR 05-09-2013

TODAY WE ARE OUT OF MONEY AS WE ARE SHORT @ 5417 & 5427 WE GOT  A CHANCE TO COVER SHORT AFTER 1.30. BUT WE ARE SHORT FOR POSITIONAL .

AFTER EXPIRY NIFTY COMMON AVG IS NEAR 5427,  COMMON LOW AVG IS 5350 & HIGH SIDE 5550

IT MEANS FOR BREAK OUT  CLS ABOV 5550 OR BREAK DOWN  5350 IS NECESSARY TILL THAT MARKET WILL BE IN CONGESTION BAND.

YESTERDAY AVG 5417 .TODAY 1 ST ONE HOUR 1CR NIFTY AVG  WAS 5368 THIS WILL BE GOOD SUPPORT)  

TODAY FII PARTLY COVER SHORT AROUND 24000, FROM YESTERDAY 68000 SHORT. LAST FEW DAYS  FII CREATING  LONG POSITION IN STOCK FUT.SO WE WILL SEE MORE MOVEMENT IN STOCK THEN NIFTY.

CONCLUSION RANGE BOND .TILL CLOSE 5550 & 5350

    

NIFTY VIEW 04-08-2013

NIFTY VIEW 04-08-2013

AS PER YESTERDAY BLOG WE HAVE SOLD IN MORNING & WE ACHIEVED  OUR TARGET 5427 WITHIN A DAY.(MARKET IS @ NEAR 50 % RETRENCHMENT AREA FROM 6100 TO 5100 IS 5600 WE CAN SHORT HERE WITH SL OF 5625  FOR ONE SMALL -VE TREND TILL 5427. MAY  THIS WILL COME WITHIN  IN ONE DAY TIME. )

FII NET SOLD INDEX BY 50000 CONT & LONG WIND UP BY 18000 OVER ALL NET SHORT BY 83000  O I FROM 386 TO 420 

MARKET BREAK  IMP LEVEL OF 5427. NIFTY LOSS HIS CONTROL AFTER 2 O'CLOCK 

BE FOR 2 O'CLOCK VOL WAS 60 LAC & POST 2 PM 2 CR  MAJOR SELL OFF CAME AFTER 2 PM & AVG WAS 5417 & TODAY AVG IS 5432. IN FUTURE BOTH AVG  WILL BE HURDLER,& MINOR SUPPORT WILL BE 5285 (THIS IS AVG OF FROM WHERE MARKET  BOUNCE BACK 5108 TILL 5427 IN TWO DAYS). 

OVER ALL MARKET IS IN BEAR PHASE 

NIFTY PE IS 15.5 ,,, WE HAVE OBSERVED THAT, IN PAST BELOW 16 PE MARKET WILL BE IN BEAR PHASE & NEXT FAIR VALUE WILL BE 13.5 OR 12 PE THIS WILL BE EXTREMELY BEST INVESTMENT ZONE. 

FOR INVESTOR SEAT ON CASH & WAIT FOR GOOD OPPORTUNITY.              

NIFTY VIEW 03-09-2013

NIFTY VIEW FOR 

MARKET IS @ NEAR 50 % RETRENCHMENT AREA FROM 6100 TO 5100 IS 5600 WE CAN SHORT HERE WITH SL OF 5625  FOR ONE SMALL -VE TREND TILL 5427. MAY  THIS WILL COME WITHIN  IN ONE DAY TIME. 

5427 IS SUPPORT BECAUSE ON 27 & 29 AUG  NIFTY TOP IS 5427 &  LAST FRIDAY AFTER EXPIRY AVG IS 5427.

TODAY AFTER LONG TIME FII IS NET BUY IN CASH & LONG IN FUT STOCK & INDEX CALL OPTION.