OZA EQUITY ANALYSIS: July 2013

Wednesday, July 31, 2013

NIFTY VIEW FOR 1-08-2013

31-07-2013

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

FOLLOW UP:-

as we have decided to sell put in morning we sold in 1 st half FIRST 15 MIN AVG WAS 5735.

(WE CAN TAKE CHANCE @ 5775 RANGE BY ENCASING PUT. & OPEN OUR POSITION & SELL STOCK IN RALLY. )

here we will not sell wait for mrk to come @ 5803 TILL 5848 we will wind up our long position
TODAY MARKET AVG 5753.

DATA:-

FII NET SOLD -39000 INDEX CONT & NET 405 IS OI NET RESULT IS LONG WIND UP @ FII DESK & PARTLY FRESH SELL @ INDEX

conclusion:-

NOW WE WILL WAIT FOR MARKET TO COME NEAR 5803 TILL 5848 FOR WIND UP .

Tuesday, July 30, 2013

NIFTY VIEW FOR 31-07-2013

30-07-2013

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

FOLLOW UP:-

we are long & lost money IN STOCK & gain in put long.

after roll over first time fii net sell came for index -29000 cont

& avg is 5848, mrk avg is 5888.LAST MONTH AVG IS 5925 & 5775 IS A RANGE WHERE MARKET BOUNCE BACK @ JULY 1 ST WEEK & GONE UP TO 6100

here we will not sell wait for mrk to come @ 5848 we will wind up our long position & we will wait for more conf of selling

SO WE CAN TAKE CHANCE @ 5775 RANGE BY ENCASING PUT. & OPEN OUR POSITION & SELL STOCK IN RALLY.

DATA:-

FII NET SOLD -29000 INDEX CONT & NET 405 IS OI NET RESULT IS LONG WIND UP @ FII DESK BUT THERE IS NO FRESH SELL IN SYSTEM

conclusion:-

now we will WAIT FOR MARKET TO COME NEAR 5848 FOR EXIT.

Thursday, July 25, 2013

NIFTY VIEW FOR 26-07-2013

25-07-2013

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

follow up:-

as we have enter long in range from (6015 till 5975 with put buying for safety it help in today fall)

sell in cash from fii is matter of worry,as far as concern with roll over last month roll over was 255 & this month roll over is 428 & net 1.75 lac index long position.

over all situation we are still bullish, reason is this time long roll over is higher then last month expiry.

conclusion:-

now we will go long again from 5906 till 5870 with put as protection.

Monday, July 22, 2013

OZA EQUITY ANALYSIS: NIFTY VIEW FOR 23-07-2013

Sunday, July 21, 2013

NIFTY VIEW FOR 23-07-2013

22-07-2013

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

follow up:-

sell in cash is worry part, we will in range from 5985 & 6075.

any side break out & data support will be direction of market for buying or selling as on today .from 6015 till 5975 i will buy stock & buy next month put (i will lead stock alone when nifty above 6075 close)

in cash market see came -400 cr

Conclusion :-

Now 6015 (today avg) till 5985 (this week avg) is strong range for bull market

we will do our 3 nd fresh buy entry from 6015 till 5985.

we have not observed  sell off in derivative so we are not changing our bullish view.till next sell off in derivative 

(ALWAYS EXECUTE YOUR  STOP LOSS)

Thursday, July 18, 2013

NIFTY VIEW FOR 19-07-2013

18-07-2013

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

follow up:-

As we are waiting for correction its came & its good opportunity for positional buy,after gap down nifty not able to breach 5936.

today market was kept in range from 5981 till 5998 after 2.30 pm break out happen till 6066

we are bullish but @ this junction fii & dii both are selling @ cash & fii is not participating in fo.

its roll over time, so new zone will lead by short covering.

nifty high 6066 & low 5981. ltp 6052 & avg is 6014

DATA:-

AS ON 17-07-2013 FII OI was 479 AS ON 18-07-2013 FII OPEN INTEREST is 506,net result is 27000 oi added

in cash market sell came - 175 cr

on Thursday fii added fresh 51000 long position @ avg of 5936 till 5918 net result more long position added & higher then short.net 1 lac cont long in index

Conclusion :-

Now 6015 (today avg) till 5975 (this week avg) is strong range for bull market

IN THIS GAP DOWN FII NOT PARTICIPATED IN SHORT OR LONG,in comparison of fall.

Tomorrow trading rang is sell 6085 till 6099 & buy zone is 6025 till 6015

we will do our 3 nd fresh entry from 6015 till 5975.

we have not observed  sell off in derivative but in cash -175,so we are not change our bullish view.till next sell off in derivative 

(ALWAYS EXECUTE YOUR  STOP LOSS)

Tuesday, July 16, 2013

NIFTY VIEW FOR 17-07-2013

17-07-2013

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

follow up:-

AS WE ACCEPTED SMALL CORRECTION,CAME & AFTER GAP DOWN NIFTY NOT ABEL TO BREACH 5936.

today market open 115 POINT GAP DOWN & IN FIRST 15 MIN 30 LAC NIFTY TRADE DONE @ AVG OF 5922,THEN AFTER MARKET CONSTANTLY GOING UP AFTER 10.30 MARKET NOT ABEL TO CUT 5936

TODAY HIGH(6032) & LOW (5844) BOTH ARE FLICK TRADE

nifty high 5979 & low 5918. ltp 5979 & avg is 5950

STILL MY observation is 5936 till 5885 is a strong support zone

DATA:-

AS ON 15-07-2013 FII OI was 469 AS ON 16-07-2013 FII OPEN INTEREST is 464,net result is 5000 oi CUT

in cash market sell came -350 cr

on Thursday fii added fresh 51000 long position @ avg of 5936 till 5918 net result more long position added & higher then short.net 1 lac cont long in index

Conclusion :-

AS WE ACCEPTED SMALL CORRECTION we got opportunity

IN THIS GAP DOWN FII NOT PARTICIPATED IN SHORT OR LONG,in comparison of fall.

tomorrow trading rang is sell 5985 till 6015 & buy zone is 5948 till 5936

we will do our 2nd fresh entry from 5936 till 5885.

today we got this chance & tomorrow may be we will get chance.

we have not observed  sell off in derivative but in cash -350,so we are not change our bullish view.till next sell off in derivative 

(ALWAYS EXECUTE YOUR  STOP LOSS) 

Monday, July 15, 2013

NIFTY VIEW FOR 16-07-2013

16-07-2013

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

follow up:-

WE MAY SEE ONE SMALL CORRECTION.

today market open flat GIVEN LITTLE CORRECTION THEN CLOSE NEAR HIGH OF THE DAY.

nifty high 6045 & low 5984.55 ltp 6031 & avg is 6015

observation is 5936 till 5885 is a strong support zone

DATA:-

AS ON 12-07-2013 FII OI was 446 AS ON 15-07-2013 FII OPEN INTEREST is 469,net result is 23 oi add in this 7000 long & 16000 is short in cash market sell came -227 cr

on Thursday fii added fresh 51000 long position @ avg of 5936 till 5918 net result more long position added & higher then short.

Conclusion :-

today first day of week, beginning is -ve in cash, little in fo also

tomorrow trading rang is sell 6055 till 6063 & 1st buy 6015 6008 if mrk below 6000 mark then we may see pull back & if not able to cross 6036 then we will see next zone 5978 & so on.

if you miss rally 

then we will do our 2nd fresh entry from 5936 till 5885.

aggressive person start adding from 5978.

we have not seen sell off till date by fii,so we are not change our bullish view.

(ALWAYS EXECUTE YOUR  STOP LOSS) 

Sunday, July 14, 2013

NIFTY VIEW FOR 15-07-2013

14-07-2013

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

I AM WRITING AFTER WEEK BECAUSE THERE IS NO CHANGE IN MY VIEW

follow up:-

LAST BLOG WE ARE BULLISH & STEEL BULLISH NOW WE MAY SEE ONE SMALL CORRECTION.

Friday market open with gap GIVEN LITTLE CORRECTION THEN CLOSE NEAR HIGH OF THE DAY.

nifty high 6021 & low 5951 ltp 6018 & avg is 5978

observation is 5936 till 5885 is a strong support zone & SMALL sell off zone FROM 6025 till 6045 (BUT DO NOT REMAIN SHORT FOR LONG TIME) NEXT WEEK IS ROLL OVER TIME

DATA:-

AS ON 11-07-2013 FII OI was 425 AS ON 12-07-2013 FII OPEN INTEREST is 446,FRIDAY we have seen first time short is taken back foot & long added more contract

on Thursday fii added fresh 51000 long position @ avg of 5936 till 5918 net result more long position added & higher then short.

Conclusion :-

if you miss rally 

then we will do our 2nd fresh entry from 5936 till 5885.

aggressive person start adding from 5978. 

we have started long from  5575 now we are @ 6018.  

we have not seen sell off till Friday by fii,so we are not change our bullish view. 

(ALWAYS EXECUTE YOUR  STOP LOSS) 

Saturday, July 6, 2013

weekly chart with support zone

weekly chart with support zone

we have seen 5 week bearish candle then 2 week bullish candle with last week avg of 5825.

in daily we have seen double bottom candle @ 5750

NIFTY VIEW FOR 08-07-2013

05-07-2013

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

follow up:-

Friday market open with gap & traded in side ways & close with narrow range (doji pattern)

nifty high 5904 & low 5758 ltp 5872 & avg is 5882

observation is 5825 till 5785 is a strong support zone & sell off zone is 5875 till 5888

if $ 59.7199 IS SUPPORT.then WE CONSIDER AVG 4.5 % SWING OF MONTH THEN TRG IS 61.8875

sgx nifty trading @ 5815 & $ top @ 61.3855 & ltp is 60.9880 both price @ international market.

June month avg is 5785,current month avg is 5823.fii net bought 60000 cont on friday,avg was 5803

DATA:-

AS ON 04-07-2013 FII OI was 358 AS ON 05-07-2013 FII OPEN INTEREST is 368,today we have seen mixed approach.not change in oi but net 10000 long in oi & 4000 short in system.

net result still long position is higher then short.

Conclusion :-

No aggressive approach in market now but market support zone is 5825 till 5785 & selling zone is 5936 & 5965.

(we will buy stock & buy put)

we have not seen sell off till Friday by fii,so we will not change our view till sell off came to market.

For intra day trading we will buy from 5820 till 5800 & for sell from 5858 till 5875

For next week if market made bottom around 5800 (+/-10 point)close above 5862 then will see new top above 5905 5945.

(ALWAYS EXECUTE YOUR  STOP LOSS) 

Thursday, July 4, 2013

NIFTY VIEW FOR 05-07-2013

04-07-2013

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS

follow up:-

today market open with gap & fill with sell of from 5847 till 5781 but again pull back till 5854 & close 5842.
as we have seen that around 5785 getting support so we have to re work for long trade.

nifty high 5854 & low 5781 ltp 5845 & avg is 5819

observation is 5803 till 5785 is a strong support zone & sell off zone is 5845 till 5868

if $ 59.7199 IS SUPPORT.then WE CONSIDER AVG 4.5 % SWING OF MONTH THEN TRG IS 61.8875

June month avg is 5785,current month avg is 5823.fii net bought 60000 cont on friday,avg was 5803

DATA:-

AS ON 03-07-2013 FII OI was 361 AS ON 03-07-2013 FII OPEN INTEREST is 358,today we have seen mixed approach.not change in oi

net result still long position is higher then short.

conclusion :-

no aggressive approach in market now but market support zone is 5785 & selling zone is 5878.again we will buy near 5825 till 5803 & s/l will be 5780.(as we will buy stock & buy put) for intraday trading we will buy from 5825 till 5815 & for sell from 5858 till 5875  

(ALWAYS EXECUTE YOUR  STOP LOSS) 

OZA EQUITY ANALYSIS

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