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Tuesday, November 12, 2013

NIFTY VIEW 13-11-2013

LAST BLOG FOLLOW UP

LAST LEG OF SELL OF, AS PER PARTICIPATION NEAR TO 6125 OR GAP DOWN ON MONDAY  WILL BE GOOD BUYING OPPORTUNITY.

BOUGHT ON OPEN @ 6145 & 2ND BOUGHT@ 6130 SOLD @ 6175 & AGAIN BOUGHT @ 6142  & END OF SESSION S/L HIT @ 6117 .TODAY AGAIN BOUGHT @ 6135 & 6108 SOLD @ 6135 & IN LAST WE BOUGHT @ 6175  .WE ARE WRONG FROM LAST TWO SESSION. 


NIFTY VIEW 13-11-2013
NIFTY O 6138  H 6153 L 6063 C 6071 AVG 6110


NIFTY ALMOST DOWN 319 POINT (5%) FROM TOP WE ARE ALREADY LONG IN TODAY TRADE &   WE WI;LL SEE  NIFTY TILL 6043. 


FII TODAY 

CASH BOUGHT & INDEX SOLD  OPTION BUY (NET PUT)

IN OPEN POSITION FII OVER SOLD CALL SIDE 

CONCLUSION

WE HAVE ALREADY TAKEN POSITION & WE WILL TAKE  MORE POSITION  IN DOWN FALL 

1ST HURDLE WILL BE 6110 THEN 6135

Friday, November 8, 2013

NIFTY VIEW FOR 11-11-2013

LAST BLOG FOLLOW UP 

GO SHORT FROM TOMORROW 6279 ,6296 &  6313  SL 6325 

OVER ALL FIRST SUPPORT  SUPPORT IS 6210 ( RBI POLICY )

THEN WE WILL REVIEW POSITION

WE STARTED SHORT FROM 6279 6296 & 6313 & STOP LOSS  HIT @ 6325  (WE ARE OUT OF SYSTEM DUE TO STOP LOSS & NOT ABLE TO ENTER LOST OPPORTUNITY )

TODAY WE TAKEN POSITION @ 6180 (WITH OUT HOMEWORK )

NIFTY VIEW FOR 11-11-2013

NIFTY O 6127 H 6227 L 6165 C 6182  AVG  6196 

MARKET OPEN WITH GAP DOWN & MADE HIGH OF YESTERDAY CLOSE  & CONSTANTLY SELLING WITH AVG OF 6213 & AFTER 12.3 MARKET FALL 

MARKET WILL BE  NEAR TO NEUTRAL ZONE IF  1% MORE DOWN FALL  NEAR TO 6125, IT WILL BE FAIR PLACE  TO ENTER AGAIN.
5 DAY CONSTANT FALL WILL GIVE  BULL CANDLE .

FII ACTIVITY :-

TODAY ALSO FII SHORT INDEX 35800 CONT & LONG OI IS CUTTING & SHORT OI IS ADDING THIS IS 2 ND  TIME SEEN AFTER 1 MONTH. LONG TO SHORT RATION IS STEEL BETTER  4:1 .   IN OPTION  PUT IS BUYING & CALL SHORT, BUT CALL QTYY IS NOT BIG 

CONCLUSION:-

LAST LEG OF SELL OF, AS PER PARTICIPATION NEAR TO 6125 OR GAP DOWN ON MONDAY  WILL BE GOOD BUYING OPPORTUNITY.

Wednesday, November 6, 2013

NIFTY VIEW FOR 07-11-2013

YESTERDAY FOLLOW UP

GO SHORT FROM TOMORROW OPEN   TILL 6320 SL 6335 (LAST 3 DAYS AVG )

OVER ALL FIRST SUPPORT IS 6256 & 2ND SUPPORT IS 6210( RBI POLICY )

AS WE ARE ABLE TO SHORT @ 6294  & ACHIEVED FIRST TARGET .

NIFTY VIEW FOR 07-11-2013

RS IS WEAK NOW THIS  WILL BE TEMPORARY  -VE FACTOR FOR MARKET. TODAY AGAIN HEAVY WEIGHT  IS -VE MARKET IS MANAGING NIFTY PORTFOLIO,LIKE IT & PHARMA IS UP & METAL BANK CEMENT IS DOWN WE WILL KEEP DOING SHORT TILL FII PARTICIPATION IS -VE 5210 IS MAJOR SUPPORT LET SEE HOW WE ARE MANAGING .

FII ACTIVITY :-

TODAY ALSO FII SHORT INDEX 30THU CONT & CUT LONG OI THIS IS FIRST TIME SEEN AFTER 1 MONTH . CASH BUYING IS REDUCING & @  FO OPEN BUYING OF PUT OPTION .

CONCLUSION:-
GO SHORT FROM TOMORROW 6279 ,6296 &  6313  SL 6225 

OVER ALL FIRST SUPPORT  SUPPORT IS 6210 ( RBI POLICY )

THEN WE WILL REVIEW POSITION



Tuesday, November 5, 2013

NIFTY VIEW FOR 06-11-2013



HAPPY DIWALI & PROSPEROUS NEW YEAR TO ALL  MY READERS & MY FRIENDS 

LAST BLOG REF 
WE BOOKED PART PROFIT,  BAL WE WILL BOOK @ DIWALI OR IF NIFTY GO BELOW 6245(WHICH EVER IS FIRST)

WE HAVE BOOK PROFIT ON DIWALI @ 6352

NIFTY VIEW FOR 06-11-2013

O 6335 H 6356 L 6285 C 6296 AVG 6312

NOW WE DON'T HAVE ANY POSITION WE BOOKED ALL POSITION ON DIWALI

AS PER TODAY ACTIVITY @ MARKET FROM 1 NOV ON WARD NIFTY AVG IS 6335

NOW WE WILL GO SHORT TILL 6320 WITH SL OF 6335

MONTH OPENING FII REDUCED HIS CASH BUYING & TODAY INDEX ELL OF AFTER ROLL OVER MARKET PARTICIPATION IS -VE ALL HEAVY WAIGHT LIKE  INFY,TCS, SUN PHARMA DR REDY  ITC ICICI BANK HUL ALL ARE IN PROFIT BOOKING OR WE CAN SAY -VE


FII ACTIVITY :-

AFTER ROLL OVER FII GRADUALLY CHANGING HIS STAND .IN CASH LOW BUYING & SQ UP HIS ARBITRAGE POSITION CASH TO FUTURE. TODAY AFTER LONG TIME THEY ARE NET SELLER IN INDEX .

FII OI IS CUT BY 24000 INDEX ..

CONCLUSION:-
GO SHORT FROM TOMORROW OPEN   TILL 6320 SL 6335 (LAST 3 DAYS AVG )

OVER ALL FIRST SUPPORT IS 6256 & 2ND SUPPORT IS 6210( RBI POLICY )

THEN WE WILL REVIEW POSITION








Thursday, October 31, 2013

NIFTY VIEW FOR 01-NOV-2013

WE BOOKED PART PROFIT,  BAL WE WILL BOOK @ DIWALI OR IF NIFTY GO BELOW 6245(WHICH EVER IS FIRST)

TODAY NIFTY IS  CLOSE ALL TIME HIGH (ABOVE 2007/2008)

AS WE SAID IN EARLIER BLOG ADV :DEC RATIO  IS +VE ROLLOVER IS VERY GOOD .


FII DATA 

FII ROLLOVER IS VERY GOOD & @ INDEX FUT OUT OF 10 QTTY  9 IS LONG & 1 IS SHORT OPEN INT IS ALSO VERY GOOD.

TODAY FII LONG CASH 1800 CR INDEX LONG PUT & CALL OPTION SHORT & MINOR LONG @ STK FUR....... (BUT FII PARTICIPATION  IN STK FUT OPEN INTEREST  IS -VE, THEY ARE SHORT 50 % QTTY IN STOCK FUTURE )

CONCLUSION

VIEW BULLISH TILL DIWALI

LAST 2 MONTH BOTH CANDLE IS BULLISH & THIS MONTH ALSO WILL BE BULLISH

GO LONG TILL 6250, BELOW THAT WE WILL CUT LONG & WAIT FOR NEW OPPORTUNITY.

NOW WE HAVE TO WORK ON CASH SEGMENT MID CAP. THIS ALL SEGMENT WILL PERFORMANCE WILL BE   BETTER THEN NIFTY

Tuesday, October 29, 2013

30 -10-2013 NIFTY

WE WILL CUT OUR POSITION TOMORROW IF ANY GAP DOWN ITS OPPORTUNITY TILL 6070

SO I WILL CUT MY SHORT  ANY WHERE BETWEEN 6110 TILL 6085  & I WILL GO FRESH  LONG FROM 6070 TILL 6040

AS PER OUR PRICE TARGET WE CUT OUR SHORT @ 6096 & STARTED LONG BUT NOT  ABLE TO GET BIG  QTTY BUT WE ARE NET LONG 

REFERENCE 

LAST TIME @ RBI BEFORE  EVENT  MARKET WAS BULLISH & ON EVENT PROFIT BOOKING CAME & THIS TIME MARKET IN CORRECTION & SHORT COVERING CAME ..

O 6100 H 6237 L 6080 C 6231 AVG 6163 \
TODAY AS SOON AS MARKET CROSS 6150.AFTER THAT NOT A SINGLE CANDLE DONE CORRECTION AT ALL & CLOSE HIGH OF THE DAY. IN 15 MIN OF LAST 7 CANDLE 6205 WAS CONTINUES LOW THIS WILL BE FIRST SUPPORT


FII DATA :-

TODAY FII NET LONG EVERY THING CASH INDEX & EVEN SHORT GOOD QTTY OF PUT

FII NET LONG INDEX OI BY 3.75 LAC

CONCLUSION 

WE WILL GO LONG TILL 6205 & 6175 TILL TAHT MARKET WILL BE IN GOOD PHASE & 1 ST RESS IS 6298 & 6325


Monday, October 28, 2013

NIFTY VIEW FOR 29 OCT 2013

FOLLOW UP

IN LAST BLOG WE HAVE WRITTEN THAT WE WILL REVIEW OUR POSITION @ 6111. WE TAKEN LONG POSITION @ 6114 WITH SL OF 6106 WHICH WAS LOW AT THAT TIME

REFERENCE 

TODAY NIFTY CONTINUSLY COMING DOWN NOT.. BUT VOL IS VERY LESS

O 6170 H 6181 L 6097 C 6107 AVG 6133  AND LAST WEEK AVG ALSO IS 6133
BUT TOMORROW IS VERY IMP EVENT RBI POLICY IF THERE IS NO CHANGE IN ANY THING OR IF EVENT WILL BE FIZZLE OUT THAN FULL MARKET WILL BE IN BUYING ZONE OR IF .25 CUT THAN AS PER ACCEPTATION  MARKET WILL CUT SHORT IN BOTH CASH WE WILL CUT OUR SHORT

FII DATA

FII TODAY ACTIVITY NET BUY CASH AND @  INDEX NET LONG TODAY FEW CONTRACT IS LONG & SOLD CALL OPTION  & STOCK FUTURE

BUT NET POSITION THEY ARELONG 3 LAC INDEX AGAINST THAT THEY SOLD OR HEDGE BY OPTION

CONCLUSION 
WE WILL CUT OUR POSITION TOMORROW IF ANY GAP DOWN ITS OPPORTUNITY TILL 6070

AS PER ME 6070 IS VERY IMPORTANT LEVEL, FOR LEVEL WORKING FROM 5100 TILL 6200 & FROM 6200 TILL 5750  & AGAIN TOP 6260 .38 % IS 6070 APART FROM THAT IN MONTHLY RALLY WHEN JAN 2013 MARK TOP WAS 6130 FEB CANDLE TOP WAS 6070 & MARKET CONVERTED TO BEARISH AGAIN MARKET TOP @ MAY 6200 & JUN CANDLE TOP IS 6070 THIS IS FUTURE CANDLE IF U CONSIDER SPOT CANDLE THEN ITS 6040

SO I WILL CUT MY SHORT  ANY WHERE BETWEEN 6110 TILL 6085  & I WILL GO FRESH  LONG FROM 6070 TILL 6040